Chapter 17: Options on Stock Indices and Currencies
4 min readOptions on Stock Indices
Major stock index options:
- S&P 500 (SPX) — traded on CBOE, European-style
- S&P 100 (OEX) — American-style
- NASDAQ 100 (NDX)
- FTSE 100, Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50
Index options are typically cash-settled: the payoff is paid in cash rather than by delivering the portfolio. Contract size = 100×100 \times index level (for S&P 500).
Currency Options
Currency options are traded on exchanges (e.g., Philadelphia Stock Exchange) and OTC. They give the right to buy (call) or sell (put) one currency for another at a specified exchange rate.
A call option on £1 at strike KK (USD/GBP) gives the right to buy £1 for KK USD. If the spot rate ST>KS_T > K, payoff = ST−KS_T - K.
Put–call parity for currency options:
c+Ke−rT=p+S0e−rfTc + K e^{-rT} = p + S_0 e^{-r_f T}
where rr = domestic risk-free rate, rfr_f = foreign risk-free rate.
Options on Stocks Paying Known Dividend Yields
A stock index is treated as a stock paying a continuous dividend yield qq. The lower bound for a European index call becomes:
c≥S0e−qT−Ke−rTc \geq S_0 e^{-qT} - K e^{-rT}
Valuation Formulas
European Index Options (Merton's Extension)
Replace S0S_0 with S0e−qTS_0 e^{-qT} in the Black–Scholes–Merton formula:
c=S0e−qTN(d1)−Ke−rTN(d2)c = S_0 e^{-qT} N(d_1) - K e^{-rT} N(d_2)
p=Ke−rTN(−d2)−S0e−qTN(−d1)p = K e^{-rT} N(-d_2) - S_0 e^{-qT} N(-d_1)
where:
d1=ln(S0/K)+(r−q+σ2/2)TσT,d2=d1−σTd_1 = \frac{\ln(S_0/K) + (r - q + \sigma^2/2)T}{\sigma\sqrt{T}}, \quad d_2 = d_1 - \sigma\sqrt{T}
European Currency Options (Garman–Kohlhagen Model)
Replace S0S_0 with S0e−rfTS_0 e^{-r_f T} in the Black–Scholes–Merton formula:
c=S0e−rfTN(d1)−Ke−rTN(d2)c = S_0 e^{-r_f T} N(d_1) - K e^{-rT} N(d_2)
p=Ke−rTN(−d2)−S0e−rfTN(−d1)p = K e^{-rT} N(-d_2) - S_0 e^{-r_f T} N(-d_1)
d1=ln(S0/K)+(r−rf+σ2/2)TσT,d2=d1−σTd_1 = \frac{\ln(S_0/K) + (r - r_f + \sigma^2/2)T}{\sigma\sqrt{T}}, \quad d_2 = d_1 - \sigma\sqrt{T}
This is the same form as the index option formula, with qq replaced by rfr_f.
American Options
When Early Exercise is Optimal
- Index call options: Can be optimal to exercise early if the dividend yield is sufficiently high (similar logic as an individual stock paying dividends)
- Currency call options: Early exercise may be optimal when the foreign interest rate is high relative to the domestic rate
- In general, an American call on an asset with a yield may be exercised early, unlike a call on a non-dividend-paying stock
Approximation Methods
Exact analytic solutions don't exist for American options with dividends/yields. Common approaches:
- Binomial/trinomial trees (most versatile)
- Barone-Adesi and Whaley quadratic approximation — analytic approximation
- Finite difference methods — more accurate for complex cases
The "Stocks Beat Bonds in the Long Run" Fallacy
A call option with a very long maturity (e.g., 100 years) on a stock index is not nearly as cheap as one might expect. While the expected stock return exceeds the risk-free rate, the distribution of outcomes is relevant. The Black–Scholes–Merton formula shows that the price of a call option depends on rr, not μ\mu. Even with a 100-year horizon, the risk-neutral probability of the index finishing above the strike is limited by volatility.